marp - Model-Averaged Renewal Process

To implement a model-averaging approach with different renewal models, with a primary focus on forecasting large earthquakes. Based on six renewal models (i.e., Poisson, Gamma, Log-Logistics, Weibull, Log-Normal and BPT), model-averaged point estimates are calculated using AIC weights. Additionally, both percentile and studentized bootstrapped model-averaged confidence intervals are constructed. In comparison, point and interval estimation from the individual or "best" model (determined via model selection) can be retrieved.